2
Love Potion
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 63
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 10th | 13th | −3 |
| 2026-08-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 29/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 06/11/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 09/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 04/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 03/09/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |