1
My Friend Wilson
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 55
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength56%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 28/10/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 13/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 23/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |
| 11/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 25/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |