8
Pro Fever
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 65
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-05-19 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 01/10/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 21/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 06/11/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 19/05/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 30/06/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 36% | -0.24 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |