7
Thiever
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 62
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength51%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 28/08/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/10/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 25/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |