Garryowen
3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 82
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Keeneland | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-03-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-02-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 90% | +0.02 |
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 14/03/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 19/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 28/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |