1
Which Side R U On
3yo Gelding · 8-3 · OR 77
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
54%
Place Prob
42%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength62%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-06-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-05-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-11-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 28/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 30/06/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |