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Abra Abra

6yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 54

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y

#4

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 41 · 1m70y Fas 124 · beat its mark07/08/2025 · OR 41 par7/08C6OR 41C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 27/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 43 · 1m110y 124 · beat its mark27/08/2025 · OR 43 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 47 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark08/09/2025 · OR 47 par8/09C6OR 47C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 47 · 1m110y Gd 125 · beat its mark29/09/2025 · OR 47 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 48 · 1m70y Fas 125 · beat its mark22/10/2025 · OR 48 par22/10C6OR 48C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 20/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 47 · 1m 124 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 47 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 49 · 1m110y Slo 124 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 49 par10/06C6OR 49C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 50 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 50 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 52 · 1m110y 124 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 52 par29/07C6OR 52projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-07-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-06-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-05-20Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2025-10-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2025-09-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0829/0910/0629/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength9%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/08/20253rd20/10%71%+0.71
27/08/20253rd13/266%71%+0.06
08/09/20259th14/126%11%-0.15
29/09/202510th16/116%0%-0.16
22/10/20254th11/271%40%-0.31
20/05/20264th3/184%40%-0.44
10/06/20263rd14/126%75%+0.49
06/07/20267th12/137%40%+0.03
29/07/20265th20/10%50%+0.50