4
Easy Effort
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 62
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/10
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-07-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |
| 24/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 67% | -0.28 |