7
Lovers Carril
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 64
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
19%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 05/05/2026 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 14% | -0.75 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 13/08/2026 | 6th | 11/8 | 93% | 29% | -0.64 |