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6

Moon Lite Girl

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 52

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y

#3

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 12/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 38 · 6f Gd 117 · beat its mark12/11/2025 · OR 38 par12/11C6OR 38C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 40 · 6f 118 · beat its mark07/04/2026 · OR 40 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 21/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 51 · 1m 118 · beat its mark21/04/2026 · OR 51 par21/04C6OR 51C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 52 · 1m Fas 120 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 52 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 57 · 1m 121 · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 57 par26/05C6OR 57C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 56 · 1m110y Fm 120 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 56 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 58 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 58 par11/07C6OR 58C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 51 · 1m Slo 120 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 51 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 55 · 1m Fm 120 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 55 par1/09C6OR 55projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Horseshoe Indianapolis?10th10th0
2026-08-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-07-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?9th9th0
2026-06-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-05-26Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-05-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/117/0511/071/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength31%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/11/20257th50/10%45%+0.45
07/04/20269th50/10%27%+0.27
21/04/20265th50/10%43%+0.43
07/05/20265th33/10%43%+0.43
26/05/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
11/06/20266th40/10%38%+0.38
11/07/20269th33/10%11%+0.11
13/08/20263rd33/10%71%+0.71
01/09/202610th50/10%18%+0.18