5
Whakaari
3yo Filly · 8-5 · OR 63
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
79%
Place Prob
57%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 08/10/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 27/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 21/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 12/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |
| 29/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |