Ability
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 81
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-07-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-02-21 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-01-09 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 03/06/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 03/07/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 09/01/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 21/02/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |