Diamond Rock Hill

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 71

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

17%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼3

Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: +2.5

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-11	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	4th	1st	+3	9.0
2026-06-18	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	3rd	0th	+3	5.0
2026-05-13	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	4th	1st	+3	9.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 7

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength30%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
13/05/2026	4th	9/1	53%	63%	+0.10
18/06/2026	3rd	9/2	76%	60%	-0.16
11/08/2026	4th	5/1	74%	50%	-0.24