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3

Foxy Mademoiselle

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 41

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength78%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Hawthorne 18/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS18/06C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 59 · 1m Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/08/2026 · OR 59 par11/08C6OR 59projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th4th+3
2026-06-18Hawthorne?4th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0611/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength58%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/06/20264th8/158%0%-0.58
11/08/20267th25/10%0%0.00