7

Juno Palace

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 57

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move3
Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 8.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Keeneland 06/04/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 4f110y Slo 119 · HIGHER CLASS6/04C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 35 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2025 · OR 35 par28/07C6OR 35C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 28 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/08/2025 · OR 28 par28/08C6OR 28C6 @ Churchill Downs 25/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 37 · 6f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/09/2025 · OR 37 par25/09C6OR 37C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 56 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 56 par1/09C6OR 56projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th4th+3
2025-09-25Churchill Downs?12th9th+3
2025-08-28Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th4th+3
2025-07-28Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th4th+3
2025-04-06Keeneland?10th7th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0428/0728/0825/091/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength24%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/04/202510th50/10%18%+0.18
28/07/20257th25/10%0%0.00
28/08/20257th33/10%25%+0.25
25/09/202512th50/10%0%0.00
01/09/20267th50/10%33%+0.33