8
Cheesesteak
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 71
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Turfway Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 86% | -0.05 |
| 25/08/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 17/09/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 22/10/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 38% | -0.49 |
| 13/11/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 12/12/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 55% | -0.17 |
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 29% | -0.57 |
| 08/03/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |