10
Crab Crunch
4yo Colt · 8-7 · OR 73
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 10/11/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/02/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 16/02/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 02/03/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 04/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |