5
Cringe
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 71
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength65%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 10/06/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 17/07/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 05/09/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 09/10/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 03/11/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 16/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 26/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |