3

Gimmeethreesteps

5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 88

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength13%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 21/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 95 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/08/2025 · OR 95 par21/08C5OR 95C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 96 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/09/2025 · OR 96 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 23/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 96 · 6f Gd 119 · below its mark23/09/2025 · OR 96 par23/09C8OR 96C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 97 · 6f 119 · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 97 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 96 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark08/04/2026 · OR 96 par8/04C8OR 96C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 94 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/04/2026 · OR 94 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 94 · 6f 119 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 94 par11/06C8OR 94C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 90 · 5f110y 119 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 90 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 20/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 88 · 5f110y 119 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 88 par20/08C8OR 88projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-07-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-06-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-04-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th4th+3
2026-04-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2025-10-14Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0814/1011/0620/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength24%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/08/20254th14/126%57%+0.31
04/09/20258th13/266%13%-0.53
23/09/20252nd3/184%83%-0.01
14/10/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
08/04/20263rd5/174%80%+0.06
22/04/20267th11/893%14%-0.78
11/06/20262nd9/276%86%+0.09
16/07/20266th3/184%17%-0.68
20/08/20265th5/174%43%-0.31