9

Spinning Pride

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 77

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength45%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Turfway Park 19/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 6f Fas 11819/03C9C6 @ Hawthorne 03/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 97 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/04/2025 · OR 97 parC6 @ Churchill Downs 12/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 98 · 7f110y Fas 116 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/06/2025 · OR 98 par12/06C6OR 98C6 @ Hawthorne 16/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 90 parC6 @ Hawthorne 30/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 88 · 5f110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/10/2025 · OR 88 par30/10C6OR 88C5 @ Turfway Park 20/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 85 · 6f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 85 parC8 @ Turfway Park 13/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 80 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark13/02/2026 · OR 80 par13/02C8OR 80C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 82 par26/08C8OR 82projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-02-13Turfway Park?7th7th0
2025-12-20Turfway Park?6th3rd+3
2025-10-30Hawthorne?8th6th+2
2025-10-16Hawthorne?5th3rd+2
2025-06-12Churchill Downs?8th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0316/1013/0226/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength16%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/03/20251st33/10%100%+1.00
03/04/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
12/06/20258th40/10%0%0.00
16/10/20255th14/126%0%-0.26
30/10/20258th40/10%0%0.00
20/12/20256th20/10%0%0.00
13/02/20267th20/10%0%0.00
26/08/20264th13/891%0%-0.91