2

Fatimaa
2yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 72
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - John Deere Juvenile Challenge Final Stakes · 1f 130y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -3.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength87%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |