IvyArcIvyArc
4

Isula Senam

4yo Filly · 10-3

Lyon-Parilly · Prix Du Pic Du Midi Chase · 2m 198y

#1

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

100%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Lyon-Parilly 30/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 2m198y Hvy 15230/10C8C0 @ Nantes 24/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 15024/11C?C8 @ Pau 03/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 2m88y Ver 1563/01C8C0 @ Pau 28/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 15028/01C?C1 @ Pau 08/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 1458/02C1projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Compiegne30
2026-02-08Pau?3rd3rd0
2026-01-28Pau?1st1st0
2026-01-03Pau?1st1st0
2025-11-24Nantes?4th4th0
2025-10-30Lyon-Parilly?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/1024/113/0128/018/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength9%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/10/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
24/11/20254th9/276%77%+0.01
03/01/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
28/01/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
08/02/20263rd15/261%67%+0.06