1
Ma Star Sivola
4yo Filly · 10-10
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Du Pic Du Midi Chase · 2m 198y
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Clairefontaine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Compiegne | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Angers | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Compiegne | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength11%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 31/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 91% | +0.05 |
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 11/03/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 26/05/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 22/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |