3

Philadelphie

4yo Filly · 10-3

Lyon-Parilly · Prix Du Pic Du Midi Chase · 2m 198y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Compiegne 20/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 14520/10C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 01/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f87y Ver 1431/12C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 17/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 2m88y Ver 15017/12C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 04/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 2m1f87y Ver 1544/01C?1 @ Pau 18/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 14718/011C0 @ Dieppe 10/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 14610/06C?C0 @ Clairefontaine 29/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 14829/06C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-29Clairefontaine?6th6th0
2026-06-10Dieppe?2nd2nd0
2026-01-18Pau14th4th0
2026-01-04Cagnes-sur-Mer?1st1st0
2025-12-17Cagnes-sur-Mer?3rd3rd0
2025-12-01Cagnes-sur-Mer?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/104/0129/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength92%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/10/20253rd10/147%83%+0.36
01/12/20254th9/153%70%+0.17
17/12/20253rd10/382%78%-0.05
04/01/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
18/01/20264th14/126%50%+0.24
10/06/20262nd17/255%92%+0.37
29/06/20266th4/179%62%-0.17