4
Allure
4yo Gelding · 11-4
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Du Mont Cindre Claiming Hurdle · 2m 198y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
38%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength100%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: +4.4
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 5th | 0th | +5 |
| 2026-05-16 | Auteuil | 1 | 13th | 5th | +7 |
| 2026-04-18 | Strasbourg | 3 | 4th | -1th | +5 |
| 2026-03-29 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 1st | -3th | +4 |
| 2026-02-21 | Kempton | 1 | 5th | -3th | +7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/10/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 09/12/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.08 |
| 21/02/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 70% | -0.23 |
| 16/05/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |