7
Lady Zaza
4yo Filly · 10-10
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Du Mont Cindre Claiming Hurdle · 2m 198y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength83%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Dieppe | 4 | 6th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-08-30 | Dieppe | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Vittel | 2 | 5th | -2th | +6 |
| 2026-06-01 | Cholet | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-15 | Fontainebleau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 26/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 01/04/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 11/04/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 01/06/2026 | 8th | 5/2 | 87% | 30% | -0.57 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 30/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 29% | -0.57 |