5
Algajust
6yo Gelding · 10-0
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Du Mont Thou Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 194y
#2
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
26%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Vittel | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Vittel | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Auteuil | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-28 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-07 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength54%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 47% | -0.06 |
| 08/12/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 29/12/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 06/01/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.00 |
| 14/02/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 30% | -0.28 |
| 07/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 26/05/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |