2

Shazam

6yo Gelding · 11-2

Lyon-Parilly · Prix Du Mont Thou Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 194y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Lyon-Parilly 16/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 2m3f194y GS 15716/09C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 03/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 2m3f194y Sft 142C8 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 25/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 2m3f194y Ver 15225/12C8C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 29/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 2m3f194y Sft 1394 @ Vittel 06/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m198y Gd 1316/074C0 @ Dieppe 17/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 156C0 @ Clairefontaine 17/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 15517/08C?C0 @ Vittel 24/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 2m2f195y GS 158C0 @ Auteuil 08/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 1528/09C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Auteuil?4th4th0
2026-08-24Vittel?2nd2nd0
2026-08-17Clairefontaine?7th7th0
2026-07-17Dieppe?3rd3rd0
2026-07-06Vittel44th4th0
2025-12-29Cagnes-sur-Mer?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0929/1217/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength51%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/09/20253rd11/486%80%-0.06
03/12/20255th11/142%56%+0.13
25/12/20253rd7/282%83%+0.02
29/12/202511th33/10%33%+0.33
06/07/20264th15/890%63%-0.28
17/07/20263rd5/287%71%-0.15
17/08/20267th12/137%57%+0.20
24/08/20262nd4/596%83%-0.12
08/09/20264th12/137%79%+0.42