1
Babadoo
3yo Gelding · 9-4
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Top World Stakes · 1m 2f 205y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
88%
Place Prob
68%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength6%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +4.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Pornichet | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Pornichet | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 30/11/2025 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 47% | -0.14 |
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 05/02/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 30% | -0.17 |
| 27/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 03/07/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.12 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |