2
Encore Ridge
3yo Gelding · 9-4
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Top World Stakes · 1m 2f 205y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Le Lion D'angers | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Angers | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength32%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 16/11/2025 | 4th | 4/9 | 98% | 63% | -0.35 |
| 05/04/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 28/05/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 26/06/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |