3
Lovatree Paris
3yo Filly · 9-1
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Top World Stakes · 1m 2f 205y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Dax | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Dax | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 82% | +0.27 |
| 01/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 21/07/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 23/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |