6
Nevados
3yo Gelding · 8-13
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Top World Stakes · 1m 2f 205y
#7
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 8.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Clairefontaine | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Dax | 2 | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-04-20 | Fontainebleau | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 20/04/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 17/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 10/08/2026 | 15th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.29 |