6

Raw Energy

4yo Gelding · 8-5

Lyon-Parilly · Prix De La Mulatiere Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

36%

Place Prob

34%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lyon-Parilly 16/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 12316/04C5C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y Ver 128C5 @ Salon-De-Provence 09/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 1289/06C5C5 @ Marseille-borely 18/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f203y GS 128C5 @ Vichy 18/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 12818/07C5C0 @ Clairefontaine 15/08/2025 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 122C0 @ Mont De Marsan 24/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m4f39y Sft 12124/08C?C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 03/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Ver 132C5 @ Compiegne 16/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12016/09C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-09-16Compiegne?8th8th0
2025-09-03Lyon-Parilly?3rd3rd0
2025-08-24Mont De Marsan?1st1st0
2025-08-15Clairefontaine?13th13th0
2025-07-18Vichy?2nd2nd0
2025-06-18Marseille-borely?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0418/0624/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength37%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/20255th20/10%43%+0.43
08/05/20256th13/266%17%-0.49
09/06/20254th11/271%73%+0.02
18/06/20256th16/116%38%+0.22
18/07/20252nd33/10%88%+0.88
15/08/202513th9/153%20%-0.33
24/08/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
03/09/20253rd7/282%78%-0.04
16/09/20258th12/137%22%-0.15