4
Sea The Aurora
4yo Filly · 8-13
Lyon-Parilly · Prix De La Mulatiere Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Vichy | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Fontainebleau | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Clairefontaine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-21 | Compiegne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Strasbourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 21/05/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 17/07/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 21/10/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 13/11/2025 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 12/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |