1

Arwood

2yo Colt · 9-2

Lyon-Parilly · Prix De Saint-cyr-les-vignes Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y

#8

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Vichy 20/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 12320/07C5C5 @ Vichy 12/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12812/08C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Vichy?5th5th0
2026-07-20Vichy?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0712/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength81%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/07/20269th28/10%47%+0.47
12/08/20265th22/10%64%+0.64