8

Chester Light

2yo Filly · 9-2

Lyon-Parilly · Prix Des Gentianes Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y

#1

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

93%

Place Prob

67%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Clairefontaine 10/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m208y GS 12310/08C5
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-10Clairefontaine?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength47%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/08/20262nd18/15%89%+0.84