6
Kata Tjuta
2yo Filly · 9-2
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Des Gentianes Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 89% | +0.31 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 04/08/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 56% | -0.27 |
| 18/08/2026 | 7th | 7/4 | 91% | 33% | -0.57 |
| 01/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |