6
Boavista
4yo Filly · 11-1
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Serge Maillard Handicap · 7f 209y
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Deauville | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/03/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 87% | +0.81 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 85% | +0.21 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 21/05/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 77% | +0.22 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 85% | +0.08 |
| 08/08/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |