2
Grey Belle
7yo Mare · 11-2
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Serge Maillard Handicap · 7f 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Le Touquet | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 08/04/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 23/04/2026 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 08/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 13/06/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 9% | -0.17 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 85% | +0.79 |
| 20/07/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |