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Magic Stars
6yo Mare · 11-4
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Serge Maillard Handicap · 7f 209y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength63%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 46% | -0.20 |
| 23/03/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 04/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 19/05/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 09/06/2026 | 14th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.39 |
| 19/06/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |