10

Magic Treville

5yo Filly · 10-8

Lyon-Parilly · Prix Serge Maillard Handicap · 7f 209y

#11

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 17/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 7f100y Hvy 12817/0143 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 02/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1224 @ Marseille 16/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 13216/0244 @ Marseille 09/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 7f100y Std 1324 @ Marseille 22/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f100y Std 12722/0344 @ Marseille 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f100y Std 1304 @ Marseille 22/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f100y Std 13022/0544 @ Marseille 06/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f100y Std 1224 @ Lyon-Parilly 21/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f156y GS 12021/064projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-21Lyon-Parilly49th9th0
2026-06-06Marseille47th7th0
2026-05-22Marseille47th7th0
2026-05-02Marseille43rd3rd0
2026-03-22Marseille47th7th0
2026-03-09Marseille46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/019/0322/0521/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 11
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/01/20269th10/147%47%-0.01
02/02/20268th18/15%30%+0.25
16/02/20264th13/266%70%+0.04
09/03/20266th6/168%62%-0.07
22/03/20267th2/189%25%-0.64
02/05/20263rd4/179%67%-0.12
22/05/20267th5/174%25%-0.49
06/06/20267th20/10%45%+0.45
21/06/20269th16/116%0%-0.16