7
Mister Gan
5yo Gelding · 11-0
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Serge Maillard Handicap · 7f 209y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Deauville | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Deauville | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-09-06 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 17th | 17th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength44%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2024 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 28/06/2024 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 44% | -0.11 |
| 27/07/2024 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 85% | +0.11 |
| 06/09/2024 | 17th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 08/04/2026 | 1st | 50/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 03/05/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 29/05/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.00 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 13/08/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |