5
Tiberiana
4yo Filly · 11-1
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Serge Maillard Handicap · 7f 209y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Marseille-borely | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Marseille | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-20 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 27/11/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 16/12/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 20/01/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 43% | -0.12 |
| 16/02/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 18/03/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 18/05/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 63% | -0.23 |
| 25/07/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |