5
He's A Shooter
8yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 87
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
75%
Place Prob
61%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-20 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength77%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 01/09/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 23/09/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 20/10/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 11/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 18/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |