6
Krug
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 83
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
25%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength87%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 29% | -0.35 |
| 10/12/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 13/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 16/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 02/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 12/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |