9
Ramesses
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 82
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 5
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 13/03/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 08/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 25/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 26/05/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 15/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 18/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |