Lost Bikini
7yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 67
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
73%
Place Prob
60%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-06-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2024-04-13 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2024-01-11 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2023-12-19 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2023 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 01/10/2023 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 23/11/2023 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 19/12/2023 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 11/01/2024 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 13/04/2024 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 17/06/2024 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 30/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 19/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |