5
Seems To Whisper
7yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 76
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
27%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 31/07/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 03/09/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 23/09/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 13/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 03/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |