3
Sicilian Style Two
7yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 61
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength31%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 15/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 03/02/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 31/03/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 27/04/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 06/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |