5
Blinging Burr
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 63
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength44%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2025 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 18/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 21/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 24/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 06/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |